Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.737979 8.979238 10.316544 11.859767 13.586645 15.454611 17.623002
2025-12-14 6.044918 7.702204 9.621242 11.989371 14.813664 18.054120 22.031962
2025-12-21 4.972709 6.817301 9.075253 12.005347 15.666482 20.047550 25.639742
2025-12-28 4.345662 6.335963 8.887242 12.336124 16.808441 22.339345 29.614914
2026-01-04 3.825810 5.899968 8.671518 12.556184 17.759026 24.377693 33.308904
2026-01-11 3.350594 5.450958 8.369614 12.600044 18.435770 26.051125 36.563595
2026-01-18 2.840237 4.880159 7.829266 12.248919 18.524843 26.919380 38.762961
2026-01-25 2.438319 4.416221 7.385689 11.977595 18.675530 27.839526 41.027116
2026-02-01 2.090287 3.989650 6.949189 11.667081 18.728020 28.597991 43.067948
2026-02-08 1.800738 3.619612 6.558537 11.382837 18.781817 29.335201 45.077911
2026-02-15 1.538535 3.260624 6.147230 11.026089 18.691266 29.841782 46.756967
2026-02-22 1.392264 3.087994 6.020654 11.100487 19.242872 31.281299 49.795999
2026-03-01 1.253222 2.913368 5.877759 11.141509 19.749527 32.683025 52.845663
2026-03-08 1.142482 2.778535 5.790079 11.263679 20.383459 34.291252 56.244140
2026-03-15 1.028868 2.622094 5.647801 11.278832 20.838640 35.635620 59.282172
2026-03-22 0.967271 2.565075 5.680259 11.593201 21.788362 37.762148 63.547683
2026-03-29 0.898140 2.482369 5.655987 11.802390 22.567907 39.643656 67.487843
2026-04-05 0.816519 2.360292 5.544243 11.844087 23.062665 41.087370 70.790088
2026-04-12 0.704677 2.151042 5.240331 11.510314 22.895585 41.465200 72.442806
2026-04-19 0.613716 1.976605 4.988435 11.252460 22.840035 42.010026 74.359156
2026-04-26 0.530473 1.806844 4.728270 10.957429 22.698350 42.400407 76.030559
2026-05-03 0.459284 1.655450 4.491013 10.687423 22.582365 42.820432 77.749709
2026-05-10 0.391933 1.501136 4.230060 10.348635 22.319060 42.976977 79.036699